Szanowni Pa\u0144stwo,
\npierwsze w roku 2021 Konwersatorium im. Jerzego Pniewskiego i Leopolda Infelda Wydzia\u0142u Fizyki UW odb\u0119dzie si\u0119 w poniedzia\u0142ek, 25 STYCZNIA, o godz. 16.30.<\/p>\n
Tym razem b\u0119dziemy mieli przyjemno\u015b\u0107 wys\u0142uchania wyk\u0142adu PROF. TOMASZA LIPNIACKIEGO z Instytutu Podstawowych Problem\u00f3w Techniki Polskiej Akademii Nauk pt.<\/p>\n
“SARS COV 2 SUPER-SPREADERS AND SUPER-SPREADING VARIANT OF CONCERN 202012\/01”<\/p>\n
Wraz z czasem mijaj\u0105cym od pocz\u0105tku pandemii SARS CoV 2 przybywa danych empirycznych i poprawia si\u0119 nasze rozumienie mechanizm\u00f3w odpowiedzialnych za rozprzestrzenianie si\u0119 wirusa. Ma to wyraz tak\u017ce w konstrukcji coraz bardziej wiarygodnych modeli opisuj\u0105cych np. dystrybucj\u0119 zachorowa\u0144 w czasie. Nadchodz\u0105cy wyk\u0142ad pozwoli nam na zapoznanie si\u0119 z najbardziej aktualnym stanem wiedzy w tym zakresie.<\/p>\n
Streszczenie wyk\u0142adu znajduje si\u0119 poni\u017cej tej wiadomo\u015bci.<\/p>\n
Link do Konwersatorium na platformie Zoom to:<\/p>\n
https:\/\/us02web.zoom.us\/j\/93881687598?pwd=UmFhVUdVSXhnQ2tIVVozNmowSUNtZz09<\/a>. Zapraszamy do do\u0142\u0105czenia do spotkania 15-30 minut przed rozpocz\u0119ciem wyk\u0142adu, by porozmawia\u0107 lub “poczatowa\u0107” w nieformalnej atmosferze.<\/p>\n Pozdrawiamy,<\/p>\n Barbara Bade\u0142ek —- This time we will listen to a lecture of PROF. TOMASZ LIPNIACKI from Institute of Fundamental Technological Research, Warsaw, Poland. The lecture title is:<\/p>\n “SARS COV 2 SUPER-SPREADERS AND SUPER-SPREADING VARIANT OF CONCERN 202012\/01”<\/p>\n With the time passing since the beginning of the SARS CoV 2 pandemic, empirical data are increasing and our understanding of the mechanisms responsible for the spread of the virus is improving. This is also reflected in the construction of increasingly reliable models describing, for example, the distribution of incidence over time. The upcoming lecture will give us an overview of the most current state of knowledge in this area.<\/p>\n The abstract of the lecture is provided below this message.<\/p>\n Here is a link to the Colloquium on the Zoom platform:<\/p>\n https:\/\/us02web.zoom.us\/j\/93881687598?pwd=UmFhVUdVSXhnQ2tIVVozNmowSUNtZz09<\/a> You are welcome to join the meeting 15-30 minutes before the Colloquium to talk or chat in informal atmosphere.<\/p>\n With best regards,<\/p>\n Barbara Bade\u0142ek ———————————————————————-<\/p>\n “SARS CoV 2 super-spreaders and super-spreading Variant of Concern 202012\/01”<\/p>\n prof. Tomasz Lipniacki, (Institute of Fundamental Technological Research, Warsaw, Poland)<\/p>\n The basic reproduction number R0 of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to range between 2 and 4. We used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the distribution of the latent period and, based on empirical estimates of the doubling time in the near-exponential phases of epidemic progression in China, Italy, Spain, France, UK, Germany, Switzerland and New York State, we estimated that R0 lies in the range 4.7-11.4. We explained this discrepancy by performing stochastic simulations of model dynamics in a population with a small proportion of super-spreaders.<\/p>\n The novel SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern (VOC)-202012\/01 (also known as B.1.1.7), first collected on September 20, 2020, in Kent, UK, is a rapidly growing lineage. Based on GISAID we estimated that the replicative advantage of the VOC-202012\/01 lineage is in the range of 1.85-2.17 with respect to the 20A.EU1 variant (dominating in England in November 2020) and in the range of 1.99-2.36 with respect to other non-VOC-202012\/01 strains. Such significant replicative advantage and the fact that London serves as major international transportation hub suggest that the VOC-202012\/01 strain will likely become globally dominant, hindering containment of the COVID-19 epidemics prior to mass vaccinations.<\/p>\n See also: Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with \u211b0 higher than initially estimated, Marek Kocha\u0144czyk, Frederic Grabowski and Tomasz Lipniacki Szanowni Pa\u0144stwo, pierwsze w roku 2021 Konwersatorium im. Jerzego Pniewskiego i Leopolda Infelda Wydzia\u0142u Fizyki UW odb\u0119dzie si\u0119 w poniedzia\u0142ek, 25 STYCZNIA, o godz. 16.30. Tym razem b\u0119dziemy mieli przyjemno\u015b\u0107 […]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":11766,"parent":822,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"Layout":"1c","footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-ulag","post-11765","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","category-seminarium_pl"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/P7nvcn-33L","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11765"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11767,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11765\/revisions\/11767"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/822"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11766"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/physics.uwb.edu.pl\/wf\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nNumer identyfikacyjny spotkania: 938 8168 7598
\nKod dost\u0119pu: prv316<\/p>\n
\nJan Chwede\u0144czuk
\nJan Kalinowski
\nJan Suffczy\u0144ski<\/p>\n
\nDear Colleagues,
\nthe first in 2021 year, Jerzy Pniewski and Leopold Infeld Colloquium of the Faculty of Physics will be held on MONDAY, JANUARY THE 25TH, at 4.30 PM.<\/p>\n
\nMeeting ID: 938 8168 7598
\nPasscode: prv316<\/p>\n
\nJan Chwede\u0144czuk
\nJan Kalinowski
\nJan Suffczy\u0144ski<\/p>\n
\nSARS-CoV-2 Variant Under Investigation 202012\/01 has more than two fold replicative advantage, Frederic Grabowski, Grzegorz Preibisch, Marek Kocha\u0144czyk, Tomasz Lipniacki
\nhttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1101\/2020.12.28.20248906<\/a><\/p>\n
\nhttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1098\/rsos.200786<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"